Sun Belt Championship ·
Sun Belt Championship
Records are after this game.
Troy beat App State by 26 points, the Sun Belt Championship.
How the game turned
Q2 9:18 Troy 0, App State 0
Troy 71% to win
Castle run for no gain, turnover on downs
Big moments
- 1Q2 9:18 · Troy 0, App State 0Troy's win chance rose from 54% to 71%.Castle run for no gain, turnover on downs
- 2Q2 5:33 · Troy 7, App State 0Troy's win chance rose from 69% to 74%.Vidal 7-yd TD run, Troy goes ahead 7-0
- 3Q3 8:31 · Troy 21, App State 14Troy's win chance rose from 64% to 78%.Watson 51-yd TD pass to Lewis, Troy goes ahead 21-14
Troy was never below a 54 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
How the lead changed
Troy took the lead for good with 8:31 left in the 3rd quarter, Troy 21, App State 14.
It was Troy's first win over App State since the 2016 season, after 5 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
App State's next game: W 13-9 vs Miami (OH) in the Avocados From Mexico Cure Bowl, Dec 16
14 days laterTroy's next game: L 10-17 vs Duke in the 76 Birmingham Bowl, Dec 23
21 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.