R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl ·

R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl

R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Jacksonville State9-434
Louisiana6-731Final
Sat, Dec 16 · Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, La. (neutral site) · Crowd 14,485 · IndoorsESPN

Records are after this game.

Jacksonville State had a 9 percent chance to win with 4:46 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 34-31 in overtime, the R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl, December 16, 2023.

How the game turned

Jacksonville State aheadLouisiana aheadBiggest swingLow: 9%
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OT1 Jacksonville State 34, Louisiana 31

Jacksonville State 100% to win

Rippa 27-yd field goal, Jacksonville State wins it 34-31

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 13:17 · Jacksonville State 0, Louisiana 7Jacksonville State's win chance fell from 67% to 43%.Zion Webb pass complete to Perry Carter for a loss of 7 yards for a, Carter fumbled, recovered by Clark
  2. 2Q2 4:22 · Jacksonville State 7, Louisiana 14Jacksonville State's win chance fell from 59% to 38%.Clark return TD, Louisiana goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q3 7:55 · Jacksonville State 17, Louisiana 14Jacksonville State's win chance rose from 65% to 68%.Rippa 22-yd field goal, Jacksonville State goes ahead 17-14
  4. 4Q3 5:47 · Jacksonville State 17, Louisiana 21Jacksonville State's win chance fell from 64% to 45%.Fields 1-yd TD run, Louisiana goes ahead 21-17
  5. 5Q3 2:53 · Jacksonville State 24, Louisiana 21Jacksonville State's win chance rose from 52% to 66%.Smothers 10-yd TD run, Jacksonville State goes ahead 24-21
  6. 6Q4 5:32 · Jacksonville State 24, Louisiana 31Jacksonville State's win chance fell from 53% to 18%.Skipper return TD, Louisiana goes ahead 31-24
  7. 7Q4 1:46 · Jacksonville State 31, Louisiana 31Jacksonville State's win chance rose from 19% to 25%.Webb 18-yd TD pass to Carter, ties it 31-31
  8. 8OT1 · Jacksonville State 34, Louisiana 31Jacksonville State's win chance rose from 63% to 100%.Rippa 27-yd field goal, Jacksonville State wins it 34-31

Jacksonville State's lowest chance to win was 9 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

In overtime, Jacksonville State's chance to win went from 63 percent to 99 percent when Jacksonville State kicked a field goal.

The score went from Jacksonville State 31, Louisiana 31 to Jacksonville State 34, Louisiana 31.

The play: Rippa 27-yd field goal, Jacksonville State wins it 34-31.

What happened next

  1. Jacksonville State finished the 2023 season 9-4.

  2. Louisiana finished the 2023 season 6-7.

  3. Jacksonville State's first game of the 2024 season: L 27-55 vs Coastal Carolina, Aug 29, 2024

    about 8 months later

  4. Louisiana's first game of the 2024 season: W 40-10 vs Grambling, Aug 31, 2024

    about 9 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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