Regular season ·

Vanderbilt beat Alabama

No. 1 Alabama4-135
Vanderbilt3-240Final
Sat, Oct 5 · FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, Tenn. · Crowd 28,934 · 88°, clearSEC Network

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Vanderbilt beat No. 1 Alabama by 5 points.

Alabama was No. 1 in the AP poll before the game; Vanderbilt was not ranked.

How the game turned

Vanderbilt aheadAlabama aheadBiggest swingLow: 7%

Q4 5:07 Vanderbilt 40, Alabama 28

Vanderbilt 77% to win

Pavia 6-yd TD pass to Johnson, Vanderbilt leads 40-28

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 8:46 · Vanderbilt 7, Alabama 0Vanderbilt's win chance rose from 10% to 14%.Alexander 7-yd TD run, Vanderbilt goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 8:03 · Vanderbilt 13, Alabama 0Vanderbilt's win chance rose from 14% to 24%.Fontenette return TD, Vanderbilt leads 13-0
  3. 3Q2 9:32 · Vanderbilt 20, Alabama 7Vanderbilt's win chance rose from 19% to 38%.Alexander 1-yd TD run, Vanderbilt leads 20-7
  4. 4Q3 2:53 · Vanderbilt 30, Alabama 21Vanderbilt's win chance rose from 23% to 49%.Pavia 36-yd TD pass to Sherrill, Vanderbilt leads 30-21
  5. 5Q4 5:07 · Vanderbilt 40, Alabama 28Vanderbilt's win chance rose from 50% to 77%.Pavia 6-yd TD pass to Johnson, Vanderbilt leads 40-28

Vanderbilt's lowest chance to win was 7 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 5:07 left in the 4th quarter, Vanderbilt's chance to win went from 50 percent to 77 percent when Vanderbilt scored a touchdown.

The score went from Vanderbilt 33, Alabama 28 to Vanderbilt 40, Alabama 28.

The play: Pavia 6-yd TD pass to Johnson, Vanderbilt leads 40-28.

It was Vanderbilt's first win over Alabama since the 1984 season, after 23 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.

What happened next

  1. Vanderbilt's next game: W 20-13 at Kentucky, Oct 12

    7 days later
  2. Alabama's next game: W 27-25 vs South Carolina, Oct 12

    7 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 5, 2024: Alabama 30, Vanderbilt 14, Oct 4, 2025

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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