Regular season ·
Tennessee beat Alabama
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
Tennessee had a 9 percent chance to win with 13:04 left in the 3rd quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 24-17, October 19, 2024.
Tennessee was No. 11 and Alabama No. 7 in the AP poll before the game.
How the game turned
Q3 1:00 Tennessee 14, Alabama 10
Tennessee 65% to win
Sampson 3-yd TD run, Tennessee goes ahead 14-10
Big moments
- 1Q2 13:01 · Tennessee 0, Alabama 7Tennessee's win chance fell from 34% to 23%.Milroe 5-yd TD pass to Williams, Alabama goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q3 3:11 · Tennessee 7, Alabama 10Tennessee's win chance fell from 34% to 30%.Nicholson 35-yd field goal, Alabama goes ahead 10-7
- 3Q3 1:00 · Tennessee 14, Alabama 10Tennessee's win chance rose from 24% to 65%.Sampson 3-yd TD run, Tennessee goes ahead 14-10
- 4Q4 13:56 · Tennessee 14, Alabama 17Tennessee's win chance fell from 57% to 30%.Haynes 7-yd TD run, Alabama goes ahead 17-14
- 5Q4 5:52 · Tennessee 21, Alabama 17Tennessee's win chance rose from 36% to 70%.Iamaleava 16-yd TD pass to Brazzell, Tennessee goes ahead 21-17
Tennessee's lowest chance to win was 9 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 1:00 left in the 3rd quarter, Tennessee's chance to win went from 24 percent to 65 percent when Tennessee scored a touchdown.
The score went from Tennessee 7, Alabama 10 to Tennessee 14, Alabama 10.
The play: Sampson 3-yd TD run, Tennessee goes ahead 14-10.
What happened next
Alabama went from No. 7 to No. 15 in the next AP poll.
Alabama's next game: W 34-0 vs Missouri, Oct 26
7 days laterTennessee's next game: W 28-18 vs Kentucky, Nov 2
14 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 19, 2024: Alabama 37, Tennessee 20, Oct 18, 2025
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.