Regular season ·

Iowa State beat Iowa

Iowa State2-020
No. 21 Iowa1-119Final
Sat, Sep 7 · Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, Iowa · Crowd 69,250 · 68°, clearCBS

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Iowa State had a 5 percent chance to win with 13:35 left in the 3rd quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 20-19, September 7, 2024.

How the game turned

Iowa State aheadIowa aheadLow: 5%

Q4 0:06 Iowa State 20, Iowa 19

Iowa State 80% to win

Konrardy 54-yd field goal, Iowa State goes ahead 20-19

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 6:29 · Iowa State 0, Iowa 7Iowa State's win chance fell from 35% to 26%.Johnson 27-yd TD run, Iowa goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q3 4:36 · Iowa State 14, Iowa 19Iowa State's win chance rose from 14% to 24%.Becht 75-yd TD pass to Noel, cuts it to 19-14
  3. 3Q4 0:06 · Iowa State 20, Iowa 19Konrardy 54-yd field goal, Iowa State goes ahead 20-19

Iowa State's lowest chance to win was 5 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Iowa State took the lead for good with 0:06 left in the 4th quarter, Iowa State 20, Iowa 19.

What happened next

  1. Iowa's next game: W 38-21 vs Troy, Sep 14

    7 days later
  2. Iowa State's next game: W 52-7 vs Arkansas State, Sep 21

    14 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Sep 7, 2024: Iowa State 16, Iowa 13, Sep 6, 2025

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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