Regular season ·
Iowa State beat Iowa
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
Iowa State had a 5 percent chance to win with 13:35 left in the 3rd quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 20-19, September 7, 2024.
How the game turned
Q4 0:06 Iowa State 20, Iowa 19
Iowa State 80% to win
Konrardy 54-yd field goal, Iowa State goes ahead 20-19
Big moments
- 1Q1 6:29 · Iowa State 0, Iowa 7Iowa State's win chance fell from 35% to 26%.Johnson 27-yd TD run, Iowa goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q3 4:36 · Iowa State 14, Iowa 19Iowa State's win chance rose from 14% to 24%.Becht 75-yd TD pass to Noel, cuts it to 19-14
- 3Q4 0:06 · Iowa State 20, Iowa 19Konrardy 54-yd field goal, Iowa State goes ahead 20-19
Iowa State's lowest chance to win was 5 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
How the lead changed
Iowa State took the lead for good with 0:06 left in the 4th quarter, Iowa State 20, Iowa 19.
What happened next
Iowa's next game: W 38-21 vs Troy, Sep 14
7 days laterIowa State's next game: W 52-7 vs Arkansas State, Sep 21
14 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Sep 7, 2024: Iowa State 16, Iowa 13, Sep 6, 2025
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

