Regular season ·

Michigan State beat Maryland

Michigan State2-027
Maryland1-124Final
Sat, Sep 7 · SECU Stadium, College Park, Md. · Crowd 34,819 · 64°, cloudyBTN

Records are after this game.

Michigan State had a 6 percent chance to win with 9:14 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 27-24, September 7, 2024.

How the game turned

Michigan State aheadMaryland aheadLow: 6%

Q4 0:01 Michigan State 27, Maryland 24

Michigan State 84% to win

Kim 37-yd field goal, Michigan State goes ahead 27-24

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 8:30 · Michigan State 0, Maryland 7Michigan State's win chance fell from 22% to 19%.Edwards 15-yd TD pass to Felton, Maryland goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 0:47 · Michigan State 7, Maryland 14Michigan State's win chance fell from 25% to 20%.Edwards 7-yd TD run, Maryland goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q2 0:00 · Michigan State 17, Maryland 14Kim 50-yd field goal, Michigan State goes ahead 17-14
  4. 4Q4 14:54 · Michigan State 17, Maryland 24Michigan State's win chance fell from 39% to 14%.Edwards 28-yd TD pass to Wade, Maryland goes ahead 24-17
  5. 5Q4 4:11 · Michigan State 24, Maryland 24Michigan State's win chance rose from 16% to 40%.Chiles 77-yd TD pass to Marsh, ties it 24-24
  6. 6Q4 0:01 · Michigan State 27, Maryland 24Kim 37-yd field goal, Michigan State goes ahead 27-24

Michigan State's lowest chance to win was 6 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Michigan State took the lead for good with 0:01 left in the 4th quarter, Michigan State 27, Maryland 24.

What happened next

  1. Michigan State's next game: W 40-0 vs Prairie View A&M, Sep 14

    7 days later
  2. Maryland's next game: W 27-13 at Virginia, Sep 14

    7 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Sep 7, 2024: Michigan State 38, Maryland 28, Nov 29, 2025

    about 15 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

Share: Post on X · Text it ·