Regular season ·

Oregon State beat Washington State

No. 25 Washington State8-338
Oregon State5-641Final
Sat, Nov 23 · Reser Stadium, Corvallis, Ore. · Crowd 38,008 · 48°, cloudyThe CW

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Oregon State had a 6 percent chance to win with 4:46 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 41-38, November 23, 2024.

How the game turned

Oregon State aheadWashington State aheadLow: 6%
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Q4 0:20 Oregon State 41, Washington State 38

Oregon State 12% to win

Hayes 55-yd field goal, Oregon State goes ahead 41-38

Big moments

  1. 1Q2 13:31 · Oregon State 7, Washington State 10Janikowski 33-yd field goal, Washington State goes ahead 10-7
  2. 2Q2 7:06 · Oregon State 14, Washington State 10Oregon State's win chance rose from 26% to 36%.Allah 1-yd TD run, Oregon State goes ahead 14-10
  3. 3Q2 1:04 · Oregon State 14, Washington State 17Mateer 3-yd TD run, Washington State goes ahead 17-14
  4. 4Q2 0:13 · Oregon State 21, Washington State 17Oregon State's win chance rose from 20% to 24%.Gulbranson 1-yd TD run, Oregon State goes ahead 21-17
  5. 5Q3 1:41 · Oregon State 31, Washington State 24Oregon State's win chance rose from 38% to 62%.Gulbranson 43-yd TD pass to Terry, Oregon State goes ahead 31-24
  6. 6Q4 11:19 · Oregon State 31, Washington State 38Oregon State's win chance fell from 33% to 9%.Al-Uqdah interception return TD, Washington State goes ahead 38-31
  7. 7Q4 2:45 · Oregon State 38, Washington State 38Oregon State's win chance rose from 11% to 31%.Gulbranson 4-yd TD pass to Clemons, ties it 38-38
  8. 8Q4 0:20 · Oregon State 41, Washington State 38Oregon State's win chance rose from 10% to 12%.Hayes 55-yd field goal, Oregon State goes ahead 41-38

Oregon State's lowest chance to win was 6 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Oregon State took the lead for good with 0:20 left in the 4th quarter, Oregon State 41, Washington State 38.

What happened next

  1. Oregon State's next game: L 18-34 at Boise State, Nov 29

    6 days later

  2. Washington State's next game: L 14-15 vs Wyoming, Nov 30

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 23, 2024: Oregon State 10, Washington State 7, Nov 1, 2025

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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