Regular season ·

Liberty beat Massachusetts

Liberty7-235
Massachusetts2-834Final
Sat, Nov 16 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium, Hadley, Mass. · Crowd 9,115 · 61°, clearESPN+

Records are after this game.

Liberty beat Massachusetts by 1 point in overtime.

How the game turned

Liberty aheadMassachusetts aheadBiggest swing

Q4 3:49 Liberty 28, Massachusetts 28

Liberty 72% to win

Salter 1-yd TD run, ties it 28-28

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 9:20 · Liberty 0, Massachusetts 7Liberty's win chance fell from 80% to 74%.John 9-yd TD run, Massachusetts goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q4 13:09 · Liberty 21, Massachusetts 20Liberty's win chance rose from 57% to 76%.Cooley 6-yd TD run, Liberty goes ahead 21-20
  3. 3Q4 7:08 · Liberty 21, Massachusetts 28Liberty's win chance fell from 68% to 35%.Haston 2-yd TD run, two-point try good, Massachusetts goes ahead 28-21
  4. 4Q4 3:49 · Liberty 28, Massachusetts 28Liberty's win chance rose from 35% to 72%.Salter 1-yd TD run, ties it 28-28
  5. 5OT1 · Liberty 28, Massachusetts 34Liberty's win chance fell from 72% to 64%.John 2-yd TD run, Massachusetts goes ahead 34-28
  6. 6OT1 · Liberty 35, Massachusetts 34Liberty's win chance rose from 69% to 100%.Cooley 5-yd TD run, Liberty wins it 35-34

Liberty's lowest chance to win was 30 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 3:49 left in the 4th quarter, Liberty's chance to win went from 34 percent to 72 percent when Liberty scored a touchdown.

The score went from Liberty 21, Massachusetts 28 to Liberty 28, Massachusetts 28.

The play: Salter 1-yd TD run, ties it 28-28.

What happened next

  1. Liberty's next game: W 38-21 vs Western Kentucky, Nov 23

    7 days later
  2. Massachusetts's next game: L 21-59 at Georgia, Nov 23

    7 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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