Regular season ·
Duke beat Northwestern
Records are after this game.
Duke beat Northwestern 26-20 in 2 overtimes, September 6, 2024.
How the game turned
Q3 10:31 Duke 7, Northwestern 10
Duke 45% to win
Caleb Komolafe run for a loss of 5 yards, fumbled, recovered by Nicholas
Big moments
- 1Q1 11:46 · Duke 0, Northwestern 3Olsen 44-yd field goal, Northwestern goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q1 4:50 · Duke 7, Northwestern 3Duke's win chance rose from 46% to 54%.Murphy 16-yd TD pass to Pancol, Duke goes ahead 7-3
- 3Q2 6:32 · Duke 7, Northwestern 10Duke's win chance fell from 47% to 39%.Porter 4-yd TD run, Northwestern goes ahead 10-7
- 4Q4 11:39 · Duke 10, Northwestern 13Duke's win chance fell from 42% to 28%.Olsen 35-yd field goal, Northwestern goes ahead 13-10
- 5OT1 · Duke 13, Northwestern 20Duke's win chance fell from 46% to 39%.Porter 10-yd TD run, Northwestern goes ahead 20-13
- 6OT1 · Duke 20, Northwestern 20Duke's win chance rose from 39% to 51%.Murphy 25-yd TD pass to Moore, ties it 20-20
- 7OT2 · Duke 26, Northwestern 20Murphy 3-yd TD pass to Pancol, two-point try fails, Duke goes ahead 26-20
Duke's lowest chance to win was 18 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 10:31 left in the 3rd quarter, Duke's chance to win went from 27 percent to 45 percent on a fumble.
The score stayed Duke 7, Northwestern 10.
What happened next
Duke's next game: W 26-21 vs UConn, Sep 14
8 days laterNorthwestern's next game: W 31-7 vs Eastern Illinois, Sep 14
8 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.