Regular season ·

Pittsburgh beat Cincinnati

Pittsburgh2-028
Cincinnati1-127Final
Sat, Sep 7 · Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio · Crowd 37,992 · 67°, clearESPN2

Records are after this game.

Pittsburgh trailed Cincinnati by 21 points in the 3rd quarter and won 28-27, September 7, 2024.

How the game turned

Pittsburgh aheadCincinnati aheadLow: 3%

Q4 0:17 Pittsburgh 28, Cincinnati 27

Pittsburgh 54% to win

Sauls 35-yd field goal, Pittsburgh goes ahead 28-27

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 7:47 · Pittsburgh 0, Cincinnati 7Pittsburgh's win chance fell from 43% to 30%.Sorsby 52-yd TD pass to Mayes, Cincinnati goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 1:11 · Pittsburgh 3, Cincinnati 14Pittsburgh's win chance fell from 33% to 21%.Sorsby 5-yd TD pass to Johnson, Cincinnati leads 14-3
  3. 3Q4 5:40 · Pittsburgh 25, Cincinnati 27Pittsburgh's win chance rose from 13% to 33%.Holstein 56-yd TD pass to Reid, two-point try fails, cuts it to 27-25
  4. 4Q4 0:17 · Pittsburgh 28, Cincinnati 27Pittsburgh's win chance rose from 36% to 54%.Sauls 35-yd field goal, Pittsburgh goes ahead 28-27

Pittsburgh's lowest chance to win was 3 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Pittsburgh took the lead for good with 0:17 left in the 4th quarter, Pittsburgh 28, Cincinnati 27.

It was Pittsburgh's first win over Cincinnati since the 2010 season, after 3 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.

What happened next

  1. Pittsburgh's next game: W 38-34 vs West Virginia, Sep 14

    7 days later
  2. Cincinnati's next game: W 27-16 at Miami (OH), Sep 14

    7 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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