Regular season ·

California beat Stanford

Stanford3-821
California6-524Final
Sat, Nov 23 · California Memorial Stadium, Berkeley, Calif. · Crowd 52,428 · 61°, cloudyACC Network

Records are after this game.

California beat Stanford by 3 points.

How the game turned

California aheadStanford aheadBiggest swingLow: 6%
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Q3 6:33 California 7, Stanford 21

California 10% to win

Ford 2-yd TD pass to V

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 7:49 · California 0, Stanford 7California's win chance fell from 82% to 76%.Lamson 1-yd TD run, Stanford goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 1:27 · California 0, Stanford 14California's win chance fell from 64% to 46%.Lamson 2-yd TD run, Stanford leads 14-0
  3. 3Q2 4:14 · California 7, Stanford 14California's win chance fell from 37% to 19%.Mendoza sacked, turnover on downs
  4. 4Q4 2:40 · California 24, Stanford 21California's win chance rose from 31% to 54%.Mendoza 22-yd TD pass to Brady, two-point try good, California goes ahead 24-21
  5. 5Q4 2:14 · California 24, Stanford 21California's win chance rose from 54% to 79%.Daniels incomplete to Bachmeier, turnover on downs

California's lowest chance to win was 6 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 6:33 left in the 3rd quarter, Stanford's chance to win went from 60 percent to 90 percent when Stanford scored a touchdown.

The score went from California 7, Stanford 14 to California 7, Stanford 21.

What happened next

  1. Stanford's next game: L 31-34 at San José State, Nov 29

    6 days later

  2. California's next game: L 6-38 at SMU, Nov 30

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 23, 2024: Stanford 31, California 10, Nov 22, 2025

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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