Regular season ·
Duke beat Wake Forest
Records are after this game.
Duke had a 8 percent chance to win in the 3rd quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 23-17, November 30, 2024.
How the game turned
Q4 0:00 Duke 23, Wake Forest 17
Duke 100% to win
Murphy 39-yd TD pass to Moore, Duke wins it 23-17
Big moments
- 1Q2 13:39 · Duke 3, Wake Forest 0Duke's win chance rose from 64% to 67%.Pelino 45-yd field goal, Duke goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q2 10:23 · Duke 3, Wake Forest 7Duke's win chance fell from 64% to 55%.Carney 8-yd TD run, Wake Forest goes ahead 7-3
- 3Q4 12:57 · Duke 17, Wake Forest 17Duke's win chance rose from 28% to 57%.Murphy 2-yd TD run, ties it 17-17
- 4Q4 0:00 · Duke 23, Wake Forest 17Duke's win chance rose from 68% to 100%.Murphy 39-yd TD pass to Moore, Duke wins it 23-17
Duke's lowest chance to win was 8 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Duke's chance to win went from 68 percent to 99 percent when Duke scored a touchdown.
The score went from Duke 17, Wake Forest 17 to Duke 23, Wake Forest 17.
The play: Murphy 39-yd TD pass to Moore, Duke wins it 23-17.
What happened next
Wake Forest finished the 2024 season 4-8.
Duke's next game: L 20-52 vs Ole Miss in the TaxSlayer Gator Bowl, Jan 2
33 days laterWake Forest's first game of the 2025 season: W 10-9 vs Kennesaw State, Aug 29, 2025
about 9 months laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 30, 2024: Duke 49, Wake Forest 32, Nov 29, 2025
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.