Regular season ·
Colorado beat Baylor
Records are after this game.
Colorado had a 8 percent chance to win with 4:17 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 38-31 in overtime, September 21, 2024.
How the game turned
Q4 0:00 Colorado 31, Baylor 31
Colorado 51% to win
Sanders 43-yd TD pass to Wester, ties it 31-31
Big moments
- 1Q1 8:13 · Colorado 0, Baylor 3Hankins 32-yd field goal, Baylor goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q1 1:56 · Colorado 7, Baylor 3Colorado's win chance rose from 57% to 67%.Sanders 2-yd TD run, Colorado goes ahead 7-3
- 3Q2 14:26 · Colorado 7, Baylor 10Colorado's win chance fell from 65% to 53%.Robertson 30-yd TD pass to Baldwin, Baylor goes ahead 10-7
- 4Q4 5:43 · Colorado 24, Baylor 31Colorado's win chance fell from 52% to 16%.Robertson 24-yd TD pass to Presley, Baylor goes ahead 31-24
- 5Q4 0:00 · Colorado 31, Baylor 31Colorado's win chance rose from 11% to 51%.Sanders 43-yd TD pass to Wester, ties it 31-31
- 6OT1 · Colorado 38, Baylor 31Colorado's win chance rose from 53% to 61%.Welch 1-yd TD run, Colorado goes ahead 38-31
Colorado's lowest chance to win was 8 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Colorado's chance to win went from 11 percent to 51 percent when Colorado scored a touchdown.
The score went from Colorado 24, Baylor 31 to Colorado 31, Baylor 31.
The play: Sanders 43-yd TD pass to Wester, ties it 31-31.
What happened next
Colorado's next game: W 48-21 at UCF, Sep 28
7 days laterBaylor's next game: L 28-34 vs BYU, Sep 28
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Sep 21, 2024: Baylor 23, Colorado 13, Sep 26, 2026
about 2 years later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.