Regular season ·
Western Kentucky beat Jacksonville State
Records are after this game.
Western Kentucky beat Jacksonville State by 2 points.
How the game turned
Q4 0:03 Western Kentucky 19, Jacksonville State 17
Western Kentucky 99% to win
Carneiro 50-yd field goal, Western Kentucky goes ahead 19-17
Big moments
- 1Q1 8:48 · Western Kentucky 7, Jacksonville State 0Western Kentucky's win chance rose from 59% to 64%.Veltkamp 21-yd TD pass to Young, Western Kentucky goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 3:42 · Western Kentucky 7, Jacksonville State 10Western Kentucky's win chance fell from 53% to 43%.Stewart 8-yd TD run, Jacksonville State goes ahead 10-7
- 3Q3 7:31 · Western Kentucky 13, Jacksonville State 10Carneiro 21-yd field goal, Western Kentucky goes ahead 13-10
- 4Q4 9:44 · Western Kentucky 16, Jacksonville State 17Western Kentucky's win chance fell from 76% to 44%.Smothers 17-yd TD run, Jacksonville State goes ahead 17-16
- 5Q4 0:03 · Western Kentucky 19, Jacksonville State 17Western Kentucky's win chance rose from 28% to 99%.Carneiro 50-yd field goal, Western Kentucky goes ahead 19-17
Western Kentucky's lowest chance to win was 15 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:03 left in the 4th quarter, Western Kentucky's chance to win went from 28 percent to 99 percent when Western Kentucky kicked a field goal.
The score went from Western Kentucky 16, Jacksonville State 17 to Western Kentucky 19, Jacksonville State 17.
The play: Carneiro 50-yd field goal, Western Kentucky goes ahead 19-17.
What happened next
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.