Regular season ·
Washington State beat San José State
Records are after this game.
Washington State had a 9 percent chance to win with 11:03 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 54-52 in 2 overtimes, September 20, 2024.
How the game turned
Q4 0:26 Washington State 43, San José State 46
Washington State 32% to win
Brown 20-yd TD pass to Hurry, two-point try good, San José State goes ahead 46-43
Big moments
- 1Q1 9:00 · Washington State 7, San José State 0Washington State's win chance rose from 84% to 88%.Mateer 1-yd TD run, Washington State goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q1 2:57 · Washington State 7, San José State 10Halvorsen 19-yd field goal, San José State goes ahead 10-7
- 3Q2 11:31 · Washington State 14, San José State 10Washington State's win chance rose from 78% to 80%.Mateer 4-yd TD pass to Mathers, Washington State goes ahead 14-10
- 4Q3 5:43 · Washington State 24, San José State 31Washington State's win chance fell from 75% to 47%.Brown 1-yd TD run, San José State goes ahead 31-24
- 5Q4 4:56 · Washington State 43, San José State 38Washington State's win chance rose from 77% to 85%.Paine 1-yd TD run, two-point try fails, Washington State goes ahead 43-38
- 6Q4 0:26 · Washington State 43, San José State 46Washington State's win chance fell from 66% to 32%.Brown 20-yd TD pass to Hurry, two-point try good, San José State goes ahead 46-43
- 7Q4 0:00 · Washington State 46, San José State 46Washington State's win chance rose from 41% to 54%.Janikowski 52-yd field goal, ties it 46-46
Washington State's lowest chance to win was 9 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:26 left in the 4th quarter, San José State's chance to win went from 34 percent to 68 percent when San José State scored a touchdown.
The score went from Washington State 43, San José State 38 to Washington State 43, San José State 46.
The play: Brown 20-yd TD pass to Hurry, two-point try good, San José State goes ahead 46-43.
What happened next
Washington State's next game: L 24-45 at Boise State, Sep 28
8 days laterSan José State's next game: W 35-31 vs Nevada, Oct 5
15 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

