Regular season ·

Hawai'i beat Fresno State

Hawai'i4-521
Fresno State5-420Final
Sat, Nov 2 · Valley Children's Stadium, Fresno, Calif. · Crowd 41,575 · 66°, cloudy

Records are after this game.

Hawai'i had a 2 percent chance to win with 2:00 left in the 3rd quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 21-20, November 2, 2024.

How the game turned

Hawai'i aheadFresno State aheadLow: 2%
12345

Q4 0:15 Hawai'i 21, Fresno State 20

Hawai'i 32% to win

Schager 3-yd TD pass to Cenacle, Hawai'i goes ahead 21-20

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 7:12 · Hawai'i 7, Fresno State 0Hawai'i's win chance rose from 27% to 38%.Schager 5-yd TD pass to Ashlock, Hawai'i goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 13:04 · Hawai'i 7, Fresno State 7Hawai'i's win chance fell from 33% to 15%.Schager sacked for a 17-yd loss, fumbles
  3. 3Q2 10:21 · Hawai'i 7, Fresno State 13Keene 5-yd TD pass to Sharpe, blocked, Fresno State goes ahead 13-7
  4. 4Q3 3:58 · Hawai'i 7, Fresno State 20Hawai'i's win chance fell from 16% to 4%.Jackson return TD, Fresno State leads 20-7
  5. 5Q4 0:15 · Hawai'i 21, Fresno State 20Hawai'i's win chance rose from 18% to 32%.Schager 3-yd TD pass to Cenacle, Hawai'i goes ahead 21-20

Hawai'i's lowest chance to win was 2 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Hawai'i took the lead for good with 0:15 left in the 4th quarter, Hawai'i 21, Fresno State 20.

What happened next

  1. Hawai'i's next game: L 27-29 vs UNLV, Nov 9

    7 days later

  2. Fresno State's next game: L 28-36 at Air Force, Nov 9

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 2, 2024: Fresno State 23, Hawai'i 21, Sep 20, 2025

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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