Regular season ·

Georgia State beat Texas State

Georgia State3-852
Texas State6-544Final
Sat, Nov 23 · UFCU Stadium, San Marcos, Texas · Crowd 18,271 · 65°, clearESPN+

Records are after this game.

Georgia State beat Texas State by 8 points.

How the game turned

Georgia State aheadTexas State aheadBiggest swingLow: 4%
12345

Q2 0:19 Georgia State 35, Texas State 21

Georgia State 89% to win

McCloud sacked, fumbles

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 11:40 · Georgia State 7, Texas State 0Georgia State's win chance rose from 10% to 15%.Dukes 23-yd TD run, Georgia State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 5:49 · Georgia State 7, Texas State 14Georgia State's win chance fell from 6% to 4%.McCloud 10-yd TD pass to Dawn, Texas State goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q2 12:26 · Georgia State 14, Texas State 21Georgia State's win chance fell from 7% to 5%.McCloud 6-yd TD pass to Dawn, Texas State goes ahead 21-14
  4. 4Q2 1:54 · Georgia State 28, Texas State 21Georgia State's win chance rose from 23% to 25%.Veilleux 21-yd TD pass to Fleming, Georgia State goes ahead 28-21
  5. 5Q2 0:19 · Georgia State 35, Texas State 21Georgia State's win chance rose from 65% to 89%.McCloud sacked, fumbles

Georgia State's lowest chance to win was 4 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:19 left in the 2nd quarter, Georgia State's chance to win went from 65 percent to 89 percent on a fumble.

The score stayed Georgia State 35, Texas State 21.

The play: McCloud sacked, fumbles.

What happened next

  1. Texas State's next game: W 45-38 at South Alabama, Nov 29

    6 days later

  2. Georgia State's next game: L 27-48 vs Coastal Carolina, Nov 30

    7 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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