Regular season ·

Buffalo beat Northern Illinois

Buffalo3-123
No. 23 Northern Illinois2-120Final
Sat, Sep 21 · Huskie Stadium, DeKalb, Ill. · Crowd 18,688 · 87°, clearESPN+

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Buffalo beat No. 23 Northern Illinois by 3 points in overtime.

Northern Illinois was No. 23 in the AP poll before the game; Buffalo was not ranked.

How the game turned

Buffalo aheadNorthern Illinois aheadBiggest swingLow: 5%
12345

OT1 Buffalo 23, Northern Illinois 20

Buffalo 100% to win

Bellenfant 37-yd field goal, Buffalo wins it 23-20

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 5:14 · Buffalo 0, Northern Illinois 7Buffalo's win chance fell from 15% to 12%.Brown 5-yd TD run, Northern Illinois goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q4 12:02 · Buffalo 17, Northern Illinois 17Buffalo's win chance rose from 14% to 33%.Henderson 36-yd TD run, ties it 17-17
  3. 3Q4 3:28 · Buffalo 20, Northern Illinois 17Bellenfant 42-yd field goal, Buffalo goes ahead 20-17
  4. 4Q4 0:24 · Buffalo 20, Northern Illinois 20Woodill 27-yd field goal, ties it 20-20
  5. 5OT1 · Buffalo 23, Northern Illinois 20Buffalo's win chance rose from 74% to 100%.Bellenfant 37-yd field goal, Buffalo wins it 23-20

Buffalo's lowest chance to win was 5 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

In overtime, Buffalo's chance to win went from 74 percent to 99 percent when Buffalo kicked a field goal.

The score went from Buffalo 20, Northern Illinois 20 to Buffalo 23, Northern Illinois 20.

The play: Bellenfant 37-yd field goal, Buffalo wins it 23-20.

What happened next

  1. Buffalo's next game: L 3-47 at UConn, Sep 28

    7 days later

  2. Northern Illinois's next game: L 17-24 at NC State, Sep 28

    7 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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