Regular season ·

Ball State beat Northern Illinois

Northern Illinois4-423
Ball State3-525Final
Sat, Oct 26 · Scheumann Stadium, Muncie, Ind. · Crowd 15,318 · 61°, clearESPN+

Records are after this game.

Ball State beat Northern Illinois by 2 points.

How the game turned

Ball State aheadNorthern Illinois aheadBiggest swingLow: 22%

Q4 0:02 Ball State 25, Northern Illinois 23

Ball State 99% to win

Courville 52-yd field goal, Ball State goes ahead 25-23

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 10:26 · Ball State 7, Northern Illinois 0Ball State's win chance rose from 23% to 30%.Semonza 3-yd TD pass to Koziol, Ball State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 12:44 · Ball State 10, Northern Illinois 7Courville 24-yd field goal, Ball State goes ahead 10-7
  3. 3Q4 1:51 · Ball State 22, Northern Illinois 20Ball State's win chance fell from 68% to 38%.Courville 33-yd field goal blocked
  4. 4Q4 0:15 · Ball State 22, Northern Illinois 23Ball State's win chance fell from 41% to 38%.Woodill 47-yd field goal, Northern Illinois goes ahead 23-22
  5. 5Q4 0:02 · Ball State 25, Northern Illinois 23Ball State's win chance rose from 45% to 99%.Courville 52-yd field goal, Ball State goes ahead 25-23

Ball State's lowest chance to win was 22 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:02 left in the 4th quarter, Ball State's chance to win went from 45 percent to 99 percent when Ball State kicked a field goal.

The score went from Ball State 22, Northern Illinois 23 to Ball State 25, Northern Illinois 23.

The play: Courville 52-yd field goal, Ball State goes ahead 25-23.

What happened next

  1. Ball State's next game: L 21-27 vs Miami (OH), Nov 5

    10 days later
  2. Northern Illinois's next game: W 42-28 at Western Michigan, Nov 6

    11 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 26, 2024: Northern Illinois 21, Ball State 7, Oct 25, 2025

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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