Famous Idaho Potato Bowl ·

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Northern Illinois8-528
Fresno State6-720Final
Mon, Dec 23 · Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Idaho (neutral site) · Crowd 10,359 · 46°, cloudyESPN

Records are after this game.

Northern Illinois beat Fresno State 28-20 in 2 overtimes, the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl, December 23, 2024.

How the game turned

Northern Illinois aheadFresno State aheadBiggest swingLow: 10%
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OT1 Northern Illinois 13, Fresno State 20

Northern Illinois 45% to win

Wood 9-yd TD pass to Donelson, Fresno State goes ahead 20-13

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 11:29 · Northern Illinois 0, Fresno State 6Northern Illinois's win chance fell from 49% to 45%.Donelson 1-yd TD run, two-point try fails, Fresno State goes ahead 6-0
  2. 2Q1 1:08 · Northern Illinois 3, Fresno State 13Northern Illinois's win chance fell from 48% to 33%.Wood 13-yd TD run, Fresno State leads 13-3
  3. 3OT1 · Northern Illinois 13, Fresno State 20Northern Illinois's win chance fell from 64% to 45%.Wood 9-yd TD pass to Donelson, Fresno State goes ahead 20-13
  4. 4OT1 · Northern Illinois 20, Fresno State 20Holst 3-yd TD pass to Barnes, ties it 20-20
  5. 5OT2 · Northern Illinois 28, Fresno State 20Northern Illinois's win chance rose from 55% to 68%.Dimopoulos 25-yd TD pass to Pardridge, two-point try good, Northern Illinois goes ahead 28-20

Northern Illinois's lowest chance to win was 10 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

In the first overtime, Fresno State's chance to win went from 36 percent to 55 percent when Fresno State scored a touchdown.

The score went from Northern Illinois 13, Fresno State 13 to Northern Illinois 13, Fresno State 20.

The play: Wood 9-yd TD pass to Donelson, Fresno State goes ahead 20-13.

What happened next

  1. Northern Illinois finished the 2024 season 8-5.

  2. Fresno State finished the 2024 season 6-7.

  3. Fresno State's first game of the 2025 season: L 7-31 at Kansas, Aug 23, 2025

    about 8 months later

  4. Northern Illinois's first game of the 2025 season: W 19-17 vs Holy Cross, Aug 30, 2025

    about 8 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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