College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl ·

College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl

College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl
No. 4 Texas13-239
No. 10 Arizona State11-331Final
Wed, Jan 1 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Ga. (neutral site) · Crowd 71,105 · IndoorsESPN

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Texas beat Arizona State 39-31 in 2 overtimes, the College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl, January 1, 2025.

Texas was No. 4 and Arizona State No. 10 in the last AP poll before the bowls.

How the game turned

Texas aheadArizona State aheadBiggest swing

OT2 Texas 39, Arizona State 31

Texas 100% to win

Ewers 25-yd TD pass to Helm, two-point try good, Texas wins it 39-31

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 8:59 · Texas 0, Arizona State 3Kieffer 39-yd field goal, Arizona State goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q1 8:14 · Texas 7, Arizona State 3Texas's win chance rose from 78% to 87%.Ewers 23-yd TD pass to Moore, Texas goes ahead 7-3
  3. 3OT1 · Texas 24, Arizona State 31Texas's win chance fell from 68% to 59%.Skattebo 3-yd TD run, Arizona State goes ahead 31-24
  4. 4OT1 · Texas 31, Arizona State 31Texas's win chance rose from 55% to 59%.Ewers 28-yd TD pass to Golden, ties it 31-31
  5. 5OT2 · Texas 39, Arizona State 31Texas's win chance rose from 59% to 100%.Ewers 25-yd TD pass to Helm, two-point try good, Texas wins it 39-31

Texas was never below a 52 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

In the second overtime, Texas's chance to win went from 59 percent to 99 percent when Texas scored a touchdown.

The score went from Texas 31, Arizona State 31 to Texas 39, Arizona State 31.

The play: Ewers 25-yd TD pass to Helm, two-point try good, Texas wins it 39-31.

What happened next

  1. Arizona State finished the 2024 season 11-3, No. 10 in the last AP poll before the bowls.

  2. Texas's next game: L 14-28 vs Ohio State in the College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic, Jan 10

    9 days later
  3. Arizona State's first game of the 2025 season: W 38-19 vs Northern Arizona, Aug 30, 2025

    about 8 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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