Regular season ·

Texas beat Mississippi State

Texas6-245
Mississippi State4-438Final
Sat, Oct 25 · Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, Miss. · Crowd 52,680 · 73°, cloudySEC Network

Records are after this game.

Texas trailed Mississippi State by 17 points in the 3rd quarter and won 45-38 in overtime, October 25, 2025.

How the game turned

Texas aheadMississippi State aheadBiggest swingLow: 0%
12345

Q4 1:47 Texas 38, Mississippi State 38

Texas 49% to win

Niblett punt return TD, ties it 38-38

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 13:01 · Texas 7, Mississippi State 0Texas's win chance rose from 70% to 85%.Manning 3-yd TD run, Texas goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 12:41 · Texas 14, Mississippi State 7Texas's win chance rose from 72% to 83%.Manning 1-yd TD pass to Livingstone, Texas goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q2 2:30 · Texas 14, Mississippi State 17Texas's win chance fell from 59% to 55%.Ferrie 24-yd field goal, Mississippi State goes ahead 17-14
  4. 4Q4 1:47 · Texas 38, Mississippi State 38Texas's win chance rose from 17% to 49%.Niblett punt return TD, ties it 38-38
  5. 5OT1 · Texas 45, Mississippi State 38Texas's win chance rose from 60% to 77%.Caldwell 10-yd TD pass to V

Texas's lowest chance to win was 0 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 1:47 left in the 4th quarter, Texas's chance to win went from 17 percent to 49 percent when Texas scored a touchdown.

The score went from Texas 31, Mississippi State 38 to Texas 38, Mississippi State 38.

The play: Niblett punt return TD, ties it 38-38.

What happened next

  1. Texas's next game: W 34-31 vs Vanderbilt, Nov 1

    7 days later

  2. Mississippi State's next game: W 38-35 at Arkansas, Nov 1

    7 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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