Regular season ·

Vanderbilt beat Auburn

Auburn4-638
No. 15 Vanderbilt8-245Final
Sat, Nov 8 · FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, Tenn. · Crowd 35,000 · 70°, clearSEC Network

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 15 Vanderbilt beat Auburn by 7 points in overtime.

How the game turned

Vanderbilt aheadAuburn aheadBiggest swingLow: 17%

Q4 1:06 Vanderbilt 38, Auburn 38

Vanderbilt 53% to win

Pavia run for a 3-yd loss, turnover on downs

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 5:45 · Vanderbilt 0, Auburn 7Vanderbilt's win chance fell from 60% to 48%.Daniels 14-yd TD pass to Singleton, Auburn goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q3 7:37 · Vanderbilt 24, Auburn 23Vanderbilt's win chance rose from 42% to 72%.Pavia 57-yd TD pass to Richardson, Vanderbilt goes ahead 24-23
  3. 3Q3 1:11 · Vanderbilt 24, Auburn 30Vanderbilt's win chance fell from 66% to 42%.Daniels 16-yd TD run, Auburn goes ahead 30-24
  4. 4Q4 14:07 · Vanderbilt 31, Auburn 30Vanderbilt's win chance rose from 54% to 71%.Pavia 7-yd TD run, Vanderbilt goes ahead 31-30
  5. 5Q4 5:27 · Vanderbilt 38, Auburn 38Vanderbilt's win chance fell from 91% to 63%.Daniels 23-yd TD pass to Coleman, two-point try good, ties it 38-38
  6. 6Q4 1:06 · Vanderbilt 38, Auburn 38Vanderbilt's win chance fell from 84% to 53%.Pavia run for a 3-yd loss, turnover on downs

Vanderbilt's lowest chance to win was 17 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 1:06 left in the 4th quarter, Auburn's chance to win went from 16 percent to 47 percent on a failed fourth down.

The score stayed Vanderbilt 38, Auburn 38.

The play: Vanderbilt on 4th down, Pavia run for a 3-yd loss, turnover on downs.

What happened next

  1. Vanderbilt's next game: W 45-17 vs Kentucky, Nov 22

    14 days later
  2. Auburn's next game: W 62-17 vs Mercer, Nov 22

    14 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 8, 2025: Auburn 21, Vanderbilt 15, Sep 26, 2026

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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