Regular season ·

Texas beat Texas A&M

No. 3 Texas A&M11-117
No. 16 Texas9-327Final
Fri, Nov 28 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, Texas · Crowd 103,632 · 63°, light rainABC

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 16 Texas beat No. 3 Texas A&M by 10 points.

How the game turned

Texas aheadTexas A&M aheadBiggest swingLow: 20%
12345

Q4 14:57 Texas 20, Texas A&M 10

Texas 89% to win

Townsend 2-yd TD run, Texas leads 20-10

Big moments

  1. 1Q2 12:04 · Texas 3, Texas A&M 0Texas's win chance rose from 56% to 57%.Shipley 41-yd field goal, Texas goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 0:56 · Texas 3, Texas A&M 10Texas's win chance fell from 39% to 26%.Concepcion 8-yd TD run, Texas A&M goes ahead 10-3
  3. 3Q3 7:12 · Texas 13, Texas A&M 10Texas's win chance rose from 47% to 60%.Manning 29-yd TD pass to Wingo, Texas goes ahead 13-10
  4. 4Q4 14:57 · Texas 20, Texas A&M 10Texas's win chance rose from 69% to 89%.Townsend 2-yd TD run, Texas leads 20-10
  5. 5Q4 7:04 · Texas 27, Texas A&M 17Texas's win chance rose from 76% to 95%.Manning 35-yd TD run, Texas leads 27-17

Texas's lowest chance to win was 20 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 14:57 left in the 4th quarter, Texas's chance to win went from 69 percent to 89 percent when Texas scored a touchdown.

The score went from Texas 13, Texas A&M 10 to Texas 20, Texas A&M 10.

The play: Townsend 2-yd TD run, Texas leads 20-10.

What happened next

  1. Texas A&M's next game: L 3-10 vs Miami, Dec 20

    22 days later

  2. Texas's next game: W 41-27 vs Michigan in the Cheez-It Citrus Bowl, Dec 31

    33 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

Share: Post on X · Text it ·