Regular season ·

UCLA beat Penn State

No. 7 Penn State3-237
UCLA1-442Final
Sat, Oct 4 · Rose Bowl, Pasadena, Calif. · Crowd 39,256 · 73°, clearCBS

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

UCLA beat No. 7 Penn State by 5 points.

Penn State was No. 7 in the AP poll before the game; UCLA was not ranked.

How the game turned

UCLA aheadPenn State aheadBiggest swingLow: 8%
12345

Q4 0:17 UCLA 42, Penn State 37

UCLA 48% to win

A.J. Harris Safety

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 10:26 · UCLA 7, Penn State 0UCLA's win chance rose from 13% to 23%.Iamaleava 11-yd TD pass to Gilmer, UCLA goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 4:47 · UCLA 24, Penn State 7UCLA's win chance rose from 43% to 70%.Iamaleava 3-yd TD run, UCLA leads 24-7
  3. 3Q3 7:19 · UCLA 27, Penn State 21UCLA's win chance fell from 59% to 34%.Clifford TD return of a blocked punt, cuts it to 27-21
  4. 4Q4 14:26 · UCLA 34, Penn State 28UCLA's win chance fell from 71% to 41%.Allen 2-yd TD run, cuts it to 34-28
  5. 5Q4 6:41 · UCLA 42, Penn State 28UCLA's win chance rose from 58% to 93%.Iamaleava 7-yd TD run, two-point try good, UCLA leads 42-28

UCLA's lowest chance to win was 8 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:17 left in the 4th quarter, Penn State's chance to win went from 10 percent to 52 percent when Penn State scored.

The score went from UCLA 42, Penn State 35 to UCLA 42, Penn State 37.

What happened next

  1. Penn State was No. 7 before the game and out of the next AP poll.

  2. UCLA's next game: W 38-13 at Michigan State, Oct 11

    7 days later

  3. Penn State's next game: L 21-22 vs Northwestern, Oct 11

    7 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

Share: Post on X · Text it ·