Regular season ·

Illinois beat Northwestern

Northwestern6-613
Illinois8-420Final
Sat, Nov 29 · Gies Memorial Stadium, Champaign, Ill. · 34°, heavy snowfallFOX

Records are after this game.

Illinois beat Northwestern by 7 points.

How the game turned

Illinois aheadNorthwestern aheadBiggest swing

Q2 1:39 Illinois 7, Northwestern 10

Illinois 70% to win

Stone intercepted by Cox

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 0:16 · Illinois 0, Northwestern 3Illinois's win chance fell from 65% to 63%.Olsen 38-yd field goal, Northwestern goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 11:27 · Illinois 7, Northwestern 3Valentine 6-yd TD run, Illinois goes ahead 7-3
  3. 3Q2 5:50 · Illinois 7, Northwestern 10Illinois's win chance fell from 77% to 61%.Stone 13-yd TD pass to Eligon, Northwestern goes ahead 10-7
  4. 4Q2 1:39 · Illinois 7, Northwestern 10Illinois's win chance rose from 52% to 70%.Stone intercepted by Cox
  5. 5Q2 0:30 · Illinois 14, Northwestern 10Illinois's win chance rose from 72% to 81%.Feagin 1-yd TD run, Illinois goes ahead 14-10

Illinois was never below a 50 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 1:39 left in the 2nd quarter, Illinois's chance to win went from 52 percent to 70 percent on an interception.

The score stayed Illinois 7, Northwestern 10.

The play: Stone intercepted by Cox.

What happened next

  1. Northwestern's next game: W 34-7 vs Central Michigan in the Gameabove Sports Bowl, Dec 26

    27 days later
  2. Illinois's next game: W 30-28 vs Tennessee in the Liberty Mutual Music City Bowl, Dec 30

    31 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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