Regular season ·

Cincinnati beat Iowa State

No. 14 Iowa State5-130
Cincinnati4-138Final
Sat, Oct 4 · Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio · Crowd 38,007 · 80°, clearESPN2

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Cincinnati beat No. 14 Iowa State by 8 points.

Iowa State was No. 14 in the AP poll before the game; Cincinnati was not ranked.

How the game turned

Cincinnati aheadIowa State ahead
123

Q1 12:25 Cincinnati 7, Iowa State 0

Cincinnati 80% to win

Pryor 30-yd TD run, Cincinnati goes ahead 7-0

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 12:25 · Cincinnati 7, Iowa State 0Cincinnati's win chance rose from 67% to 80%.Pryor 30-yd TD run, Cincinnati goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 13:40 · Cincinnati 24, Iowa State 7Cincinnati's win chance rose from 87% to 97%.Pryor 18-yd TD run, Cincinnati leads 24-7
  3. 3Q4 1:56 · Cincinnati 38, Iowa State 30Cincinnati's win chance fell from 99% to 85%.Becht 3-yd TD pass to Sowell, two-point try good, cuts it to 38-30

Cincinnati was never below a 57 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Cincinnati led after every score.

What happened next

  1. Iowa State went from No. 14 to No. 22 in the next AP poll.

  2. Cincinnati's next game: W 20-11 vs UCF, Oct 11

    7 days later

  3. Iowa State's next game: L 17-24 at Colorado, Oct 11

    7 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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