Regular season ·
TCU beat Baylor
Records are after this game.
TCU beat Baylor by 6 points.
How the game turned
Q1 0:53 TCU 0, Baylor 7
TCU 39% to win
Washington 1-yd TD run, Baylor goes ahead 7-0
Big moments
- 1Q1 0:53 · TCU 0, Baylor 7TCU's win chance fell from 55% to 39%.Washington 1-yd TD run, Baylor goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 9:09 · TCU 7, Baylor 7TCU's win chance rose from 59% to 70%.Robertson incomplete to Cameron, turnover on downs
- 3Q2 6:10 · TCU 14, Baylor 7TCU's win chance rose from 71% to 81%.Barnes 5-yd TD run, TCU goes ahead 14-7
- 4Q2 0:11 · TCU 21, Baylor 10TCU's win chance rose from 74% to 88%.Hoover 6-yd TD pass to Dwyer, TCU leads 21-10
- 5Q4 0:30 · TCU 42, Baylor 36TCU's win chance fell from 87% to 74%.Robertson 35-yd TD pass to Wilson, cuts it to 42-36
TCU's lowest chance to win was 39 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:53 left in the 1st quarter, Baylor's chance to win went from 45 percent to 61 percent when Baylor scored a touchdown.
The score went from TCU 0, Baylor 0 to TCU 0, Baylor 7.
The play: Washington 1-yd TD run, Baylor goes ahead 7-0.
What happened next
TCU's next game: W 23-17 at West Virginia, Oct 25
7 days laterBaylor's next game: L 20-41 at Cincinnati, Oct 25
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 18, 2025: TCU 17, Baylor 6, Oct 17, 2026
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.