Regular season ·
Western Kentucky beat Louisiana Tech
Records are after this game.
Western Kentucky had a 4 percent chance to win in overtime, by our win chance curve, and won 28-27 in overtime, October 21, 2025.
How the game turned
OT1 Western Kentucky 28, Louisiana Tech 27
Western Kentucky 100% to win
Hart 4-yd TD run, Western Kentucky wins it 28-27
Big moments
- 1Q1 10:26 · Western Kentucky 3, Louisiana Tech 0Western Kentucky's win chance rose from 38% to 39%.Cannon 47-yd field goal, Western Kentucky goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q1 6:46 · Western Kentucky 3, Louisiana Tech 7Western Kentucky's win chance fell from 31% to 25%.Baker 6-yd TD pass to Averhart, Louisiana Tech goes ahead 7-3
- 3Q1 1:09 · Western Kentucky 10, Louisiana Tech 7Western Kentucky's win chance rose from 28% to 43%.Tisdale 15-yd TD pass to Wright, Western Kentucky goes ahead 10-7
- 4Q4 6:20 · Western Kentucky 20, Louisiana Tech 20Chance 24-yd field goal, ties it 20-20
- 5OT1 · Western Kentucky 20, Louisiana Tech 27Western Kentucky's win chance fell from 28% to 14%.Burnette 2-yd TD run, Louisiana Tech goes ahead 27-20
- 6OT1 · Western Kentucky 28, Louisiana Tech 27Western Kentucky's win chance rose from 6% to 100%.Hart 4-yd TD run, Western Kentucky wins it 28-27
Western Kentucky's lowest chance to win was 4 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
In overtime, Western Kentucky's chance to win went from 6 percent to 99 percent when Western Kentucky scored a touchdown.
The score went from Western Kentucky 20, Louisiana Tech 27 to Western Kentucky 28, Louisiana Tech 27.
The play: Hart 4-yd TD run, Western Kentucky wins it 28-27.
What happened next
Louisiana Tech's next game: W 55-14 vs Sam Houston, Oct 31
10 days laterWestern Kentucky's next game: W 35-16 vs New Mexico State, Nov 1
11 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.