Regular season ·
New Mexico State beat UTEP
Records are after this game.
New Mexico State trailed UTEP by 21 points in the 1st quarter and won 34-31, November 22, 2025.
How the game turned
Q4 0:56 New Mexico State 27, UTEP 31
New Mexico State 4% to win
Locklear 28-yd TD pass to Odom, UTEP goes ahead 31-27
Big moments
- 1Q1 9:58 · New Mexico State 0, UTEP 7New Mexico State's win chance fell from 24% to 15%.Locklear 1-yd TD run, UTEP goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q3 5:09 · New Mexico State 24, UTEP 21New Mexico State's win chance rose from 43% to 49%.Barker 46-yd field goal, New Mexico State goes ahead 24-21
- 3Q4 10:20 · New Mexico State 27, UTEP 24Barker 24-yd field goal, New Mexico State goes ahead 27-24
- 4Q4 0:56 · New Mexico State 27, UTEP 31New Mexico State's win chance fell from 87% to 4%.Locklear 28-yd TD pass to Odom, UTEP goes ahead 31-27
- 5Q4 0:21 · New Mexico State 34, UTEP 31New Mexico State's win chance rose from 29% to 92%.Damante 10-yd TD pass to King, New Mexico State goes ahead 34-31
New Mexico State's lowest chance to win was 1 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:56 left in the 4th quarter, UTEP's chance to win went from 13 percent to 96 percent when UTEP scored a touchdown.
The score went from New Mexico State 27, UTEP 24 to New Mexico State 27, UTEP 31.
The play: Locklear 28-yd TD pass to Odom, UTEP goes ahead 31-27.
What happened next
New Mexico State's next game: L 24-31 vs Middle Tennessee, Nov 29
7 days laterUTEP's next game: L 31-61 at Delaware, Nov 29
7 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.