Regular season ·

Jacksonville State beat Western Kentucky

Western Kentucky8-434
Jacksonville State8-437Final
Sat, Nov 29 · AmFirst Stadium, Jacksonville, Ala. · Crowd 16,733 · 52°, cloudyESPN+

Records are after this game.

Jacksonville State beat Western Kentucky by 3 points.

How the game turned

Jacksonville State aheadWestern Kentucky aheadLow: 14%

Q3 11:22 Jacksonville State 31, Western Kentucky 28

Jacksonville State 61% to win

Creel 70-yd TD run, Jacksonville State goes ahead 31-28

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 12:13 · Jacksonville State 7, Western Kentucky 0Jacksonville State's win chance rose from 65% to 70%.Cook 14-yd TD run, Jacksonville State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 6:15 · Jacksonville State 7, Western Kentucky 14Jacksonville State's win chance fell from 42% to 31%.Wright 1-yd TD run, Western Kentucky goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q3 11:22 · Jacksonville State 31, Western Kentucky 28Jacksonville State's win chance rose from 38% to 61%.Creel 70-yd TD run, Jacksonville State goes ahead 31-28
  4. 4Q4 12:28 · Jacksonville State 34, Western Kentucky 31Jacksonville State's win chance rose from 59% to 63%.Rippa 27-yd field goal, Jacksonville State goes ahead 34-31
  5. 5Q4 8:19 · Jacksonville State 34, Western Kentucky 34Jacksonville State's win chance fell from 63% to 57%.Cassidy 41-yd field goal, ties it 34-34
  6. 6Q4 0:00 · Jacksonville State 37, Western Kentucky 34Jacksonville State's win chance rose from 83% to 100%.Rippa 28-yd field goal, Jacksonville State wins it 37-34

Jacksonville State's lowest chance to win was 14 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Jacksonville State took the lead for good with 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Jacksonville State 37, Western Kentucky 34.

What happened next

  1. Jacksonville State's next game: L 15-19 vs Kennesaw State, Dec 5

    6 days later
  2. Western Kentucky's next game: W 27-16 vs Southern Miss in the New Orleans Bowl, Dec 23

    24 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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