Regular season ·

San Diego State beat Northern Illinois

San Diego State3-16
Northern Illinois1-33Final
Sat, Sep 27 · Huskie Stadium, DeKalb, Ill. · Crowd 13,512 · 84°, cloudyESPN+

Records are after this game.

San Diego State beat Northern Illinois by 3 points.

How the game turned

San Diego State aheadNorthern Illinois aheadBiggest swingLow: 30%

Q4 0:00 San Diego State 6, Northern Illinois 3

San Diego State 100% to win

Plascencia 25-yd field goal, San Diego State wins it 6-3

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 7:10 · San Diego State 0, Northern Illinois 3Glass 31-yd field goal, Northern Illinois goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 9:19 · San Diego State 3, Northern Illinois 3San Diego State's win chance fell from 55% to 40%.Washington run for no gain, turnover on downs
  3. 3Q4 4:28 · San Diego State 3, Northern Illinois 3San Diego State's win chance rose from 43% to 54%.Holst run for no gain, turnover on downs
  4. 4Q4 0:00 · San Diego State 6, Northern Illinois 3San Diego State's win chance rose from 73% to 100%.Plascencia 25-yd field goal, San Diego State wins it 6-3

San Diego State's lowest chance to win was 30 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, San Diego State's chance to win went from 73 percent to 99 percent when San Diego State kicked a field goal.

The score went from San Diego State 3, Northern Illinois 3 to San Diego State 6, Northern Illinois 3.

The play: Plascencia 25-yd field goal, San Diego State wins it 6-3.

What happened next

  1. San Diego State's next game: W 45-24 vs Colorado State, Oct 3

    6 days later
  2. Northern Illinois's next game: L 14-25 vs Miami (OH), Oct 4

    7 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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