Regular season ·
Army beat Air Force
Records are after this game.
Army beat Air Force by 3 points.
How the game turned
Q4 0:00 Army 20, Air Force 17
Army 100% to win
Jones 27-yd field goal, Army wins it 20-17
Big moments
- 1Q1 2:25 · Army 0, Air Force 3Army's win chance fell from 44% to 41%.Tubbs 52-yd field goal, Air Force goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q1 0:05 · Army 7, Air Force 3Army's win chance rose from 42% to 62%.Hellums 40-yd TD pass to Short, Army goes ahead 7-3
- 3Q4 7:00 · Army 17, Air Force 10Army's win chance rose from 61% to 82%.Hellums 10-yd TD run, Army goes ahead 17-10
- 4Q4 1:26 · Army 17, Air Force 17Army's win chance fell from 79% to 51%.Szarka 2-yd TD run, ties it 17-17
- 5Q4 0:00 · Army 20, Air Force 17Army's win chance rose from 65% to 100%.Jones 27-yd field goal, Army wins it 20-17
Army's lowest chance to win was 38 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Army's chance to win went from 65 percent to 99 percent when Army kicked a field goal.
The score went from Army 17, Air Force 17 to Army 20, Air Force 17.
The play: Jones 27-yd field goal, Army wins it 20-17.
What happened next
Army's next game: W 14-13 vs Temple, Nov 8
7 days laterAir Force's next game: W 26-16 at San José State, Nov 8
7 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.