Regular season ·

Eastern Michigan beat Louisiana

Louisiana1-331
Eastern Michigan1-334Final
Sat, Sep 20 · Rynearson Stadium, Ypsilanti, Mich. · Crowd 18,371 · 77°, cloudyESPN+

Records are after this game.

Eastern Michigan beat Louisiana by 3 points.

How the game turned

Eastern Michigan aheadLouisiana aheadBiggest swingLow: 25%
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Q4 0:47 Eastern Michigan 31, Louisiana 31

Eastern Michigan 53% to win

Perry 10-yd TD run, ties it 31-31

Big moments

  1. 1Q2 14:56 · Eastern Michigan 7, Louisiana 10Eastern Michigan's win chance fell from 50% to 44%.Sterner 38-yd field goal, Louisiana goes ahead 10-7
  2. 2Q2 12:31 · Eastern Michigan 14, Louisiana 10Eastern Michigan's win chance rose from 42% to 68%.Dunlap 2-yd TD run, Eastern Michigan goes ahead 14-10
  3. 3Q2 9:32 · Eastern Michigan 14, Louisiana 17Eastern Michigan's win chance fell from 68% to 41%.Davis 45-yd TD run, Louisiana goes ahead 17-14
  4. 4Q2 1:13 · Eastern Michigan 21, Louisiana 17Eastern Michigan's win chance rose from 51% to 69%.Kim 15-yd TD pass to Long, Eastern Michigan goes ahead 21-17
  5. 5Q3 5:20 · Eastern Michigan 21, Louisiana 24Eastern Michigan's win chance fell from 67% to 39%.Flowers return TD, Louisiana goes ahead 24-21
  6. 6Q4 14:55 · Eastern Michigan 28, Louisiana 24Eastern Michigan's win chance rose from 48% to 70%.Dunlap 6-yd TD run, Eastern Michigan goes ahead 28-24
  7. 7Q4 0:47 · Eastern Michigan 31, Louisiana 31Eastern Michigan's win chance fell from 88% to 53%.Perry 10-yd TD run, ties it 31-31
  8. 8Q4 0:03 · Eastern Michigan 34, Louisiana 31Eastern Michigan's win chance rose from 75% to 99%.Kessinger 42-yd field goal, Eastern Michigan goes ahead 34-31

Eastern Michigan's lowest chance to win was 25 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:47 left in the 4th quarter, Louisiana's chance to win went from 12 percent to 47 percent when Louisiana scored a touchdown.

The score went from Eastern Michigan 31, Louisiana 24 to Eastern Michigan 31, Louisiana 31.

The play: Perry 10-yd TD run, ties it 31-31.

What happened next

  1. Eastern Michigan's next game: L 13-24 at Central Michigan, Sep 27

    7 days later

  2. Louisiana's next game: W 54-51 vs Marshall, Sep 27

    7 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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