Regular season ·

Georgia Southern beat Georgia State

Georgia State1-624
Georgia Southern3-441Final
Sat, Oct 18 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium, Statesboro, Ga. · Crowd 25,428 · 68°, clearESPN+

Records are after this game.

Georgia Southern beat Georgia State by 17 points.

How the game turned

Georgia Southern aheadGeorgia State aheadBiggest swingLow: 40%
1234567

Q3 3:02 Georgia Southern 20, Georgia State 24

Georgia Southern 51% to win

Amos 3-yd TD run, Georgia State goes ahead 24-20

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 12:19 · Georgia Southern 3, Georgia State 0Georgia Southern's win chance rose from 78% to 84%.Bryant 38-yd field goal, Georgia Southern goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q1 4:52 · Georgia Southern 3, Georgia State 7Georgia Southern's win chance fell from 77% to 58%.Brown 15-yd TD run, Georgia State goes ahead 7-3
  3. 3Q2 13:37 · Georgia Southern 10, Georgia State 7Georgia Southern's win chance rose from 64% to 81%.French 20-yd TD pass to Brown, Georgia Southern goes ahead 10-7
  4. 4Q2 0:46 · Georgia Southern 10, Georgia State 17Georgia Southern's win chance fell from 66% to 45%.Brown 5-yd TD pass to Hurst, Georgia State goes ahead 17-10
  5. 5Q3 8:08 · Georgia Southern 20, Georgia State 17Georgia Southern's win chance rose from 62% to 77%.French 4-yd TD run, Georgia Southern goes ahead 20-17
  6. 6Q3 3:02 · Georgia Southern 20, Georgia State 24Georgia Southern's win chance fell from 72% to 51%.Amos 3-yd TD run, Georgia State goes ahead 24-20
  7. 7Q4 14:58 · Georgia Southern 27, Georgia State 24Georgia Southern's win chance rose from 58% to 75%.Bryan 1-yd TD run, Georgia Southern goes ahead 27-24

Georgia Southern's lowest chance to win was 40 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 3:02 left in the 3rd quarter, Georgia State's chance to win went from 28 percent to 50 percent when Georgia State scored a touchdown.

The score went from Georgia Southern 20, Georgia State 17 to Georgia Southern 20, Georgia State 24.

The play: Amos 3-yd TD run, Georgia State goes ahead 24-20.

What happened next

  1. Georgia State's next game: L 31-38 vs South Alabama, Oct 23

    5 days later

  2. Georgia Southern's next game: L 24-34 at Arkansas State, Oct 25

    7 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

Share: Post on X · Text it ·