Regular season ·

Navy beat Army

Army6-616
Navy10-217Final
Sat, Dec 13 · M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, Md. (neutral site) · Crowd 70,936 · 43°, cloudyCBS

Records are after this game.

Navy beat Army by 1 point.

It was played at a neutral site: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD.

How the game turned

Navy aheadArmy aheadBiggest swingLow: 26%
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Q4 6:37 Navy 17, Army 16

Navy 64% to win

Horvath 8-yd TD pass to Heidenreich, Navy goes ahead 17-16

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 7:16 · Navy 7, Army 0Navy's win chance rose from 74% to 83%.Horvath 5-yd TD run, Navy goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 3:45 · Navy 7, Army 10Jones 20-yd field goal, Army goes ahead 10-7
  3. 3Q2 0:20 · Navy 7, Army 10Navy's win chance fell from 63% to 45%.Horvath run for a 18-yd loss, fumbles
  4. 4Q3 11:58 · Navy 7, Army 13Navy's win chance fell from 40% to 26%.Horvath intercepted by Weaver
  5. 5Q4 6:37 · Navy 17, Army 16Navy's win chance rose from 35% to 64%.Horvath 8-yd TD pass to Heidenreich, Navy goes ahead 17-16

Navy's lowest chance to win was 26 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 6:37 left in the 4th quarter, Navy's chance to win went from 35 percent to 64 percent when Navy scored a touchdown.

The score went from Navy 10, Army 16 to Navy 17, Army 16.

The play: Horvath 8-yd TD pass to Heidenreich, Navy goes ahead 17-16.

What happened next

  1. Army's next game: W 41-16 vs UConn in the Wasabi Fenway Bowl, Dec 27

    14 days later

  2. Navy's next game: W 35-13 vs Cincinnati in the AutoZone Liberty Bowl, Jan 2

    20 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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