Regular season ·
Bowling Green beat Toledo
Records are after this game.
Bowling Green trailed Toledo by 21 points in the 2nd quarter and won 28-23, October 11, 2025.
How the game turned
Q4 6:07 Bowling Green 28, Toledo 21
Bowling Green 77% to win
McMillian 1-yd TD run, Bowling Green goes ahead 28-21
Big moments
- 1Q1 12:03 · Bowling Green 0, Toledo 7Bowling Green's win chance fell from 24% to 13%.Trayanum 14-yd TD run, Toledo goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q4 7:03 · Bowling Green 21, Toledo 21Bowling Green's win chance rose from 14% to 33%.Garcia 73-yd TD pass to Pettaway, ties it 21-21
- 3Q4 6:07 · Bowling Green 28, Toledo 21Bowling Green's win chance rose from 35% to 77%.McMillian 1-yd TD run, Bowling Green goes ahead 28-21
Bowling Green's lowest chance to win was 1 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 6:07 left in the 4th quarter, Bowling Green's chance to win went from 35 percent to 77 percent when Bowling Green scored a touchdown.
The score went from Bowling Green 21, Toledo 21 to Bowling Green 28, Toledo 21.
The play: McMillian 1-yd TD run, Bowling Green goes ahead 28-21.
What happened next
Bowling Green's next game: L 6-27 vs Central Michigan, Oct 18
7 days laterToledo's next game: W 45-10 vs Kent State, Oct 18
7 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.