Regular season ·

Buffalo beat Massachusetts

Buffalo4-328
Massachusetts0-721Final
Sat, Oct 18 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium, Hadley, Mass. · Crowd 15,239 · 61°, clearESPN+

Records are after this game.

Buffalo beat Massachusetts by 7 points.

How the game turned

Buffalo aheadMassachusetts aheadLow: 40%

Q4 0:19 Buffalo 28, Massachusetts 21

Buffalo 92% to win

Roberson 16-yd TD pass to Snow, two-point try good, Buffalo goes ahead 28-21

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 4:39 · Buffalo 3, Massachusetts 0Howes 23-yd field goal, Buffalo goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 9:44 · Buffalo 3, Massachusetts 7Buffalo's win chance fell from 80% to 71%.Hairston 27-yd TD pass to Dia-Johnson, Massachusetts goes ahead 7-3
  3. 3Q3 7:02 · Buffalo 17, Massachusetts 14Buffalo's win chance rose from 69% to 82%.Shelton 1-yd TD run, Buffalo goes ahead 17-14
  4. 4Q3 5:37 · Buffalo 17, Massachusetts 21Buffalo's win chance fell from 83% to 61%.Hairston 77-yd TD pass to Dowling, Massachusetts goes ahead 21-17
  5. 5Q4 0:19 · Buffalo 28, Massachusetts 21Buffalo's win chance rose from 75% to 92%.Roberson 16-yd TD pass to Snow, two-point try good, Buffalo goes ahead 28-21

Buffalo's lowest chance to win was 40 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Buffalo took the lead for good with 0:19 left in the 4th quarter, Buffalo 28, Massachusetts 21.

What happened next

  1. Buffalo's next game: L 16-24 vs Akron, Oct 25

    7 days later
  2. Massachusetts's next game: L 13-38 at Central Michigan, Oct 25

    7 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 18, 2025: Buffalo 25, Massachusetts 18, Oct 17, 2026

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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