College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic ·

College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic

College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic
No. 10 Miami12-224
No. 3 Ohio State12-214Final
Wed, Dec 31 · AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas (neutral site) · Crowd 71,323 · IndoorsESPN

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 10 Miami beat No. 3 Ohio State by 10 points, the College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic.

It was played at a neutral site: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX.

How the game turned

Miami aheadOhio State aheadBiggest swingLow: 21%

Q2 11:49 Miami 14, Ohio State 0

Miami 74% to win

Scott interception return TD, Miami leads 14-0

Big moments

  1. 1Q2 13:31 · Miami 7, Ohio State 0Miami's win chance rose from 38% to 51%.Beck 9-yd TD pass to Fletcher, Miami goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 11:49 · Miami 14, Ohio State 0Miami's win chance rose from 41% to 74%.Scott interception return TD, Miami leads 14-0
  3. 3Q3 8:10 · Miami 14, Ohio State 7Miami's win chance fell from 80% to 67%.Jackson 1-yd TD run, cuts it to 14-7
  4. 4Q4 13:28 · Miami 17, Ohio State 14Miami's win chance fell from 74% to 55%.Sayin 14-yd TD pass to Smith, cuts it to 17-14

Miami's lowest chance to win was 21 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 11:49 left in the 2nd quarter, Miami's chance to win went from 41 percent to 74 percent when Miami scored a touchdown.

The score went from Miami 7, Ohio State 0 to Miami 14, Ohio State 0.

The play: Scott interception return TD, Miami leads 14-0.

What happened next

  1. Ohio State finished the 2025 season 12-2, No. 3 in the last AP poll before the bowls.

  2. Miami's next game: W 31-27 vs Ole Miss in the College Football Playoff Semifinal at the VRBO Fiesta Bowl, Jan 8

    8 days later
  3. Ohio State's first game of the 2026 season: W 56-3 vs Ball State, Sep 5, 2026

    about 8 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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