Mountain West Championship ·

Mountain West Championship

Mountain West Championship
UNLV10-321
Boise State9-438Final
Fri, Dec 5 · Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Idaho · Crowd 27,152 · 43°, light rainFOX

Records are after this game.

Boise State beat UNLV by 17 points, the Mountain West Championship.

How the game turned

Boise State aheadUNLV aheadBiggest swing

Q1 6:40 Boise State 7, UNLV 0

Boise State 86% to win

Madsen 10-yd TD run, Boise State goes ahead 7-0

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 6:40 · Boise State 7, UNLV 0Boise State's win chance rose from 71% to 86%.Madsen 10-yd TD run, Boise State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q3 2:59 · Boise State 28, UNLV 21Boise State's win chance fell from 90% to 80%.Earle 7-yd TD run, cuts it to 28-21

Boise State was never below a 60 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 6:40 left in the 1st quarter, Boise State's chance to win went from 71 percent to 86 percent when Boise State scored a touchdown.

The score went from Boise State 0, UNLV 0 to Boise State 7, UNLV 0.

The play: Madsen 10-yd TD run, Boise State goes ahead 7-0.

What happened next

  1. Boise State's next game: L 10-38 vs Washington in the Bucked Up La Bowl, Dec 13

    8 days later
  2. UNLV's next game: L 10-17 vs Ohio in the Scooter's Coffee Frisco Bowl, Dec 23

    18 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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