ACC Championship ·
ACC Championship
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
Duke beat No. 16 Virginia by 7 points in overtime, the ACC Championship.
Virginia was No. 16 in the AP poll before the game; Duke was not ranked.
It was played at a neutral site: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC.
How the game turned
OT1 Duke 27, Virginia 20
Duke 100% to win
Mensah 1-yd TD pass to Hasley, Duke wins it 27-20
Big moments
- 1Q1 10:40 · Duke 7, Virginia 0Duke's win chance rose from 47% to 60%.Mensah 12-yd TD pass to Hasley, Duke goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q1 (no clock) · Duke 7, Virginia 0Duke's win chance fell from 68% to 53%.Mensah intercepted by Costner
- 3Q2 6:14 · Duke 14, Virginia 7Duke's win chance rose from 47% to 62%.Sheppard 16-yd TD run, Duke goes ahead 14-7
- 4Q4 0:22 · Duke 20, Virginia 20Duke's win chance fell from 81% to 62%.Morris 18-yd TD pass to Wood, ties it 20-20
- 5OT1 · Duke 27, Virginia 20Duke's win chance rose from 47% to 100%.Mensah 1-yd TD pass to Hasley, Duke wins it 27-20
Duke's lowest chance to win was 26 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
In overtime, Duke's chance to win went from 47 percent to 99 percent when Duke scored a touchdown.
The score went from Duke 20, Virginia 20 to Duke 27, Virginia 20.
The play: Mensah 1-yd TD pass to Hasley, Duke wins it 27-20.
What happened next
Virginia's next game: W 13-7 vs Missouri in the TaxSlayer Gator Bowl, Dec 27
21 days laterDuke's next game: W 42-39 vs Arizona State in the Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl, Dec 31
25 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.