The Zeitgeist List · coaching

Tim Brewster

Tim Brewster held Charlotte at Regional Program V for 1 season.

Peak, then fade
17–30
2007–2024 · 2 stints
← all coaches

Career arc

His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.

Stature score reached, by season of his head-coaching careerMINNESOTACHARLOTTENational Programrespectable, streakyRegional Programthe building-block levelMinnesota, 2007: 1-11, National Program II2007Minnesota, 2008: 7-6, National Program III2008Minnesota, 2009: 6-7, National Program III2009Minnesota, 2010: 1-6, National Program III2010-8.5Charlotte, 2024: 2-0, Regional Program V2024+0.1One point per coached season, in career order; dashed segments are program changes — spacing is not proportional to calendar time

Reached National Program in his 1st career season — faster than 41% of the 675 FBS coaches who have ever reached National Program (rank #1 of 675 by seasons-to-arrival).

Minnesota, 4 seasons
−8.5
National Program II → National Program III.

Style position and drift

Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.

50%Charlotte2024–2024– 0.0pt
Pass rate — share of offensive plays that were pass attemptsfirst covered seasonmost recent covered seasonfull season-to-season range (3+ covered seasons)

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

0–6 against his rivals. Winless in 3 tries against Bret Bielema.

Rivalry record
0–6
0.0% · 2 rivals
One-score games
6–10
37.5% · margin ≤8
vs. Blue Blood or better
0–4
0.0%
Rivalry ledger
Iowa0–30%
Wisconsin0–30%
The toughest matchup
vs. Bret Bielema0–3
3 meetings, 2007–2009
’07 L’08 L’09 L
0% win rate across a real, 3-meeting series — short of the bar this site uses before badging a series “Nemesis.” Shown here as the toughest matchup on record, not an algorithmic crown.
Performance by opponent class
Blue Blood
0–4 0.0%
Power Program
0–10 0.0%
National Program
4–2 66.7%
Regional Program
8–7 53.3%

His own effect, isolated

A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.

Offense marginal impact
-0.45
#290 of 319 · less than most
Defense marginal impact
+0.01
#142 of 325 · a typical amount

Model fit as of 2026-09-04.

Coaching career

2024–2024
Charlottecaretaker
Regional Program V → Regional Program V
Tim Brewster held Charlotte at Regional Program V for 1 season.

5th-best Charlotte tenure of 6 by the numbers.

Recruiter or developer?

Underperforms his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.

Offense vs. talent
-36.7 pts
#207 of 208 · less than most
Defense vs. talent
-21.1 pts
#177 of 208 · less than most
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.

Succeeded by Tim Albin (2025–2026).

Roster construction · portal era

A portal-built roster.

Portal arrivals
28
3.0★ avg rating
Portal departures
30
left via the portal
Net portal flow
-2
#13 of 187 FBS stints
Who they bring in

Brings in bigger-than-position-typical players than most.

A typical class-year mix of incoming transfers.

Avg. size (raw)
6′3″, 251 lbs
across 21 of 28 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+9.6 lbs
#22 of 255 · more than most
Avg. class year
Jr
#82 of 255 · a typical amount
Top states: GA (6), NC (5), SC (2), VA (1), NY (1)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
51.4
position-weighted
Talent lost
50.1
position-weighted
Net
+1.3
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Max Brown (QB) from Florida
Biggest loss: Micah Bowens (QB) to Bethune-Cookman
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Buys Linebacker via the portal
75%
#10 of 225 stints
Buys Cornerback via the portal
86%
#14 of 236 stints
2–0
2007–2010
Minnesotacaretaker
National Program II → National Program II
Tim Brewster held Minnesota at National Program II for 4 seasons.

8th-best Minnesota tenure of 15 by the numbers.

Followed Glen Mason (1997–2006) · succeeded by Jerry Kill (2011–2015).

Where the roster comes from, by position
Grows Interior line from high school
100%
#198 of 224 stints
Grows Tackle from high school
100%
#198 of 223 stints

4 NFL Draft picks: Matt Spaeth (2007), Dominique Barber (2008), Eric Decker (2010), Nathan Triplett (2010)

15–30