Regular season ·
Iowa beat Nebraska
Records are after this game.
Iowa beat Nebraska by 3 points.
How the game turned
Q4 0:00 Iowa 31, Nebraska 28
Iowa 100% to win
Recinos 41-yd field goal, Iowa wins it 31-28
Big moments
- 1Q1 9:37 · Iowa 7, Nebraska 0Iowa's win chance rose from 81% to 82%.Stanley 15-yd TD pass to Smith, Iowa goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 14:21 · Iowa 14, Nebraska 7Iowa's win chance rose from 72% to 79%.Young 4-yd TD run, Iowa goes ahead 14-7
- 3Q4 3:22 · Iowa 28, Nebraska 28Iowa's win chance fell from 86% to 65%.Martinez 3-yd TD run, two-point try good, ties it 28-28
- 4Q4 0:00 · Iowa 31, Nebraska 28Iowa's win chance rose from 73% to 100%.Recinos 41-yd field goal, Iowa wins it 31-28
Iowa was never below a 57 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Iowa's chance to win went from 73 percent to 99 percent when Iowa kicked a field goal.
The score went from Iowa 28, Nebraska 28 to Iowa 31, Nebraska 28.
The play: Recinos 41-yd field goal, Iowa wins it 31-28.
What happened next
Nebraska finished the 2018 season 4-8.
Iowa's next game: W 27-22 vs Mississippi State in the Outback Bowl, Jan 1
39 days laterNebraska's first game of the 2019 season: W 35-21 vs South Alabama, Aug 31, 2019
about 9 months laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 23, 2018: Iowa 27, Nebraska 24, Nov 29, 2019
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.