Regular season ·
Army beat Air Force
Records are after this game.
Army beat Air Force by 3 points.
How the game turned
Q4 5:27 Army 17, Air Force 14
Army 71% to win
Saucier 6-yd TD run, two-point try good, cuts it to 17-14
Big moments
- 1Q1 2:05 · Army 7, Air Force 0Army's win chance rose from 73% to 75%.Woolfolk 1-yd TD run, Army goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 4:03 · Army 14, Air Force 0Army's win chance rose from 79% to 89%.Hopkins 6-yd TD run, Army leads 14-0
- 3Q4 5:27 · Army 17, Air Force 14Army's win chance fell from 92% to 71%.Saucier 6-yd TD run, two-point try good, cuts it to 17-14
- 4Q4 (no clock) · Army 17, Air Force 14Army's win chance rose from 72% to 83%.Hammond run for no gain, turnover on downs
Army was never below a 53 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 5:27 left in the 4th quarter, Air Force's chance to win went from 8 percent to 29 percent when Air Force scored a touchdown.
The score went from Army 17, Air Force 6 to Army 17, Air Force 14.
The play: Saucier 6-yd TD run, two-point try good, cuts it to 17-14.
What happened next
Army's next game: W 31-13 vs Lafayette, Nov 10
7 days laterAir Force's next game: W 42-24 vs New Mexico, Nov 10
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 3, 2018: Air Force 17, Army 13, Nov 2, 2019
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.