Regular season ·

Miami (OH) beat Ohio

Ohio6-428
Miami (OH)4-630Final
Wed, Nov 7 · Yager Stadium, Oxford, Ohio · Crowd 15,975 · 44°ESPNU

Records are after this game.

Miami (OH) beat Ohio by 2 points.

How the game turned

Miami (OH) aheadOhio aheadBiggest swingLow: 23%

Q2 6:32 Miami (OH) 21, Ohio 7

Miami (OH) 77% to win

Ragland 12-yd TD pass to Mayock, Miami (OH) leads 21-7

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 11:11 · Miami (OH) 0, Ohio 7Miami (OH)'s win chance fell from 33% to 25%.Irons 3-yd TD run, Ohio goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 8:16 · Miami (OH) 7, Ohio 7Miami (OH)'s win chance rose from 25% to 37%.Smith 3-yd TD run, ties it 7-7
  3. 3Q2 11:12 · Miami (OH) 14, Ohio 7Miami (OH)'s win chance rose from 44% to 53%.Young 16-yd TD run, Miami (OH) goes ahead 14-7
  4. 4Q2 6:32 · Miami (OH) 21, Ohio 7Miami (OH)'s win chance rose from 62% to 77%.Ragland 12-yd TD pass to Mayock, Miami (OH) leads 21-7

Miami (OH)'s lowest chance to win was 23 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 6:32 left in the 2nd quarter, Miami (OH)'s chance to win went from 62 percent to 77 percent when Miami (OH) scored a touchdown.

The score went from Miami (OH) 14, Ohio 7 to Miami (OH) 21, Ohio 7.

The play: Ragland 12-yd TD pass to Mayock, Miami (OH) leads 21-7.

It was Miami (OH)'s first win over Ohio since the 2012 season, after 5 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.

What happened next

  1. Miami (OH)'s next game: W 13-7 at Northern Illinois, Nov 14

    7 days later
  2. Ohio's next game: W 52-17 vs Buffalo, Nov 14

    7 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 7, 2018: Miami (OH) 24, Ohio 21, Nov 6, 2019

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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