Regular season ·
Mississippi State beat Ole Miss
Records are after this game.
Mississippi State beat Ole Miss by 1 point.
How the game turned
Q3 3:24 Mississippi State 21, Ole Miss 14
Mississippi State 76% to win
Shrader 5-yd TD run, Mississippi State goes ahead 21-14
Big moments
- 1Q1 6:42 · Mississippi State 7, Ole Miss 0Mississippi State's win chance rose from 48% to 61%.Gibson 27-yd TD run, Mississippi State goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 11:22 · Mississippi State 14, Ole Miss 0Mississippi State's win chance rose from 69% to 80%.Shrader 1-yd TD run, Mississippi State leads 14-0
- 3Q3 3:24 · Mississippi State 21, Ole Miss 14Mississippi State's win chance rose from 53% to 76%.Shrader 5-yd TD run, Mississippi State goes ahead 21-14
Mississippi State's lowest chance to win was 35 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 3:24 left in the 3rd quarter, Mississippi State's chance to win went from 53 percent to 75 percent when Mississippi State scored a touchdown.
The score went from Mississippi State 14, Ole Miss 14 to Mississippi State 21, Ole Miss 14.
The play: Shrader 5-yd TD run, Mississippi State goes ahead 21-14.
What happened next
Mississippi State's next game: L 28-38 vs Louisville in the Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl, Dec 30
32 days laterOle Miss finished the 2019 season 4-8.
Ole Miss's first game of the 2020 season: L 35-51 vs Florida, Sep 26, 2020
about 10 months laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 28, 2019: Ole Miss 31, Mississippi State 24, Nov 28, 2020
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.