Regular season ·
Iowa beat Iowa State
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 19 Iowa beat Iowa State by 1 point.
How the game turned
Q4 12:10 Iowa 15, Iowa State 14
Iowa 59% to win
Stanley 1-yd TD run, two-point try fails, Iowa goes ahead 15-14
Big moments
- 1Q1 7:37 · Iowa 3, Iowa State 0Duncan 25-yd field goal, Iowa goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q1 5:44 · Iowa 3, Iowa State 7Iowa's win chance fell from 57% to 46%.Jones 51-yd TD pass to Pettway, Iowa State goes ahead 7-3
- 3Q4 12:10 · Iowa 15, Iowa State 14Iowa's win chance rose from 32% to 59%.Stanley 1-yd TD run, two-point try fails, Iowa goes ahead 15-14
- 4Q4 7:46 · Iowa 15, Iowa State 17Iowa's win chance fell from 56% to 41%.Assalley 26-yd field goal, Iowa State goes ahead 17-15
- 5Q4 4:51 · Iowa 18, Iowa State 17Iowa's win chance rose from 37% to 61%.Duncan 39-yd field goal, Iowa goes ahead 18-17
Iowa's lowest chance to win was 16 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 12:10 left in the 4th quarter, Iowa's chance to win went from 32 percent to 59 percent when Iowa scored a touchdown.
The score went from Iowa 9, Iowa State 14 to Iowa 15, Iowa State 14.
The play: Stanley 1-yd TD run, two-point try fails, Iowa goes ahead 15-14.
What happened next
Iowa State's next game: W 72-20 vs UL Monroe, Sep 21
7 days laterIowa's next game: W 48-3 vs Middle Tennessee, Sep 28
14 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Sep 14, 2019: Iowa 27, Iowa State 17, Sep 11, 2021
about 24 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.