Regular season ·

Iowa beat Iowa State

No. 10 Iowa2-027
No. 9 Iowa State1-117Final
Sat, Sep 11 · Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, Iowa · Crowd 61,500 · 93°, mainly clearABC

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 10 Iowa beat No. 9 Iowa State by 10 points.

How the game turned

Iowa aheadIowa State aheadBiggest swingLow: 31%
123

Q2 0:07 Iowa 14, Iowa State 10

Iowa 57% to win

Hall 4-yd TD run, cuts it to 14-10

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 0:39 · Iowa 0, Iowa State 3Assalley 23-yd field goal, Iowa State goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 8:13 · Iowa 7, Iowa State 3Iowa's win chance rose from 41% to 48%.Goodson 4-yd TD run, Iowa goes ahead 7-3
  3. 3Q2 0:07 · Iowa 14, Iowa State 10Iowa's win chance fell from 73% to 57%.Hall 4-yd TD run, cuts it to 14-10

Iowa's lowest chance to win was 31 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:07 left in the 2nd quarter, Iowa State's chance to win went from 27 percent to 43 percent when Iowa State scored a touchdown.

The score went from Iowa 14, Iowa State 3 to Iowa 14, Iowa State 10.

The play: Hall 4-yd TD run, cuts it to 14-10.

What happened next

  1. Iowa's next game: W 30-7 vs Kent State, Sep 18

    7 days later

  2. Iowa State's next game: W 48-3 at UNLV, Sep 18

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Sep 11, 2021: Iowa State 10, Iowa 7, Sep 10, 2022

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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