Regular season ·

TCU beat Texas

No. 15 Texas5-327
TCU4-337Final
Sat, Oct 26 · Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, Texas · Crowd 47,660 · 65°FOX

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

TCU beat No. 15 Texas by 10 points.

Texas was No. 15 in the AP poll before the game; TCU was not ranked.

How the game turned

TCU aheadTexas aheadBiggest swingLow: 20%
12345

Q4 1:59 TCU 37, Texas 27

TCU 94% to win

Duggan 11-yd TD run, TCU leads 37-27

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 6:32 · TCU 0, Texas 3Dicker 21-yd field goal, Texas goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 12:18 · TCU 10, Texas 3TCU's win chance rose from 56% to 65%.Duggan 24-yd TD pass to Wells, TCU goes ahead 10-3
  3. 3Q2 1:11 · TCU 10, Texas 17TCU's win chance fell from 48% to 28%.Ehlinger 17-yd TD pass to Ingram, Texas goes ahead 17-10
  4. 4Q3 4:17 · TCU 27, Texas 20TCU's win chance rose from 56% to 76%.Duggan 44-yd TD pass to Reagor, TCU goes ahead 27-20
  5. 5Q4 1:59 · TCU 37, Texas 27TCU's win chance rose from 58% to 94%.Duggan 11-yd TD run, TCU leads 37-27

TCU's lowest chance to win was 20 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 1:59 left in the 4th quarter, TCU's chance to win went from 58 percent to 94 percent when TCU scored a touchdown.

The score went from TCU 30, Texas 27 to TCU 37, Texas 27.

The play: Duggan 11-yd TD run, TCU leads 37-27.

What happened next

  1. Texas was No. 15 before the game and out of the next AP poll.

  2. TCU's next game: L 27-34 at Oklahoma State, Nov 2

    7 days later

  3. Texas's next game: W 27-24 vs Kansas State, Nov 9

    14 days later

  4. The teams' next meeting after Oct 26, 2019: TCU 33, Texas 31, Oct 3, 2020

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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