Regular season ·

North Texas beat Middle Tennessee

Middle Tennessee2-530
North Texas3-433Final
Sat, Oct 19 · Apogee Stadium, Denton, Texas · Crowd 16,094 · 83°, fair

Records are after this game.

North Texas beat Middle Tennessee by 3 points.

How the game turned

North Texas aheadMiddle Tennessee aheadBiggest swingLow: 46%
123456

Q4 0:00 North Texas 33, Middle Tennessee 30

North Texas 100% to win

Mooney 22-yd field goal, North Texas wins it 33-30

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 10:27 · North Texas 7, Middle Tennessee 0North Texas's win chance rose from 77% to 80%.Fine 3-yd TD run, North Texas goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 9:39 · North Texas 7, Middle Tennessee 13North Texas's win chance fell from 61% to 52%.O'Hara 12-yd TD run, Middle Tennessee goes ahead 13-7
  3. 3Q2 3:42 · North Texas 17, Middle Tennessee 13North Texas's win chance rose from 49% to 72%.Harrison return TD, blocked, North Texas goes ahead 17-13
  4. 4Q4 8:16 · North Texas 30, Middle Tennessee 23North Texas's win chance rose from 78% to 87%.Fine 16-yd TD pass to Darden, North Texas goes ahead 30-23
  5. 5Q4 0:28 · North Texas 30, Middle Tennessee 30North Texas's win chance fell from 90% to 72%.Cunningham 6-yd TD run, ties it 30-30
  6. 6Q4 0:00 · North Texas 33, Middle Tennessee 30North Texas's win chance rose from 70% to 100%.Mooney 22-yd field goal, North Texas wins it 33-30

North Texas's lowest chance to win was 46 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, North Texas's chance to win went from 70 percent to 99 percent when North Texas kicked a field goal.

The score went from North Texas 30, Middle Tennessee 30 to North Texas 33, Middle Tennessee 30.

The play: Mooney 22-yd field goal, North Texas wins it 33-30.

What happened next

  1. North Texas's next game: L 38-39 at Charlotte, Oct 26

    7 days later

  2. Middle Tennessee's next game: W 50-17 vs Florida International, Oct 26

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 19, 2019: North Texas 52, Middle Tennessee 35, Oct 17, 2020

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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